The Illinois Model

Adaptability was yesteryear’s concept. Today’s leaders understand prodaptability . Adaptability holds a passive connotation; whereas prodaptability is proactive.  Adaptive organisms are reactive & responsive to change.  Prodaptive organisms are even better suited to change, because they’ve purposely & proactively pre-adapted themselves, based on… meta-understanding of adaptability,  good anticipations of the future.  If you’re prodaptive, you’re not just responding to change, you’re making the change!  As John Boyd (the OODA guy) would say, you’re “shaping” your environment to meet your needs & wants.  Where the adaptive control their ship’s sails, the prodaptive impact the direction of the winds. Or at least building better boats.  Prodaptability is appreciating the articulable traits, characteristics, & behaviors of things that are adaptive, but taking it a step beyond: They purposely build these aspects into themselves, their conte...

How might cognitive frameworks help people who work inside police " real-time crime centers ?"  To me, it's about putting people, ideas, & pieces of technology together in way s that enhance awareness, sense-making & decision-making.  The next framework in this series is Cynefin .  Cynefin is a sense-making framework that helps observers, decision-makers, and doers figure out what sort of system structure or dynamics exist. This is important because the attitude or approach taken to situations in each of the Cynefin domains should be different.  Please allow me to riff for just a bit... Many police RTCCs are filled with highly technical, algorithmic tools that use formulaic processes. For example, tools that might compare objective letters or numbers (such as those recognized in video or photos) against identical strings of letters or numbers in a database. When such digits are matched, certain alerts might be triggered. This is a highly objective process. A...

In my years as a police detective, I've compiled a list of the top traits shared by the best investigators: CURIOSITY. You must have a genuine interest in discovering the truth and learning about what *really* happened. If you prematurely commit to an opinion or conclusion, you'll never truly be open to exploring the other plausible possibilities. Step 001 is acknowledging that you don't know. THEORY DEVELOPMENT. It's natural to hold hypotheses and theories about what might have occurred. But you can't be married to them. It's healthy to hold multiple, diverse, and conflicting theories at the same time. Have you ever heard of MECE - Mutually Exclusive & Collectively Exhaustive? Let that concept guide your development of theories. DISPROVE YOUR THEORIES. It's easy to find supporting evidence. It's more valuable to find evidence that disproves your theories. This is the exact and explicit opposite of "confirmation bias." This practice ensures...

How might cognitive frameworks help people who work inside police " real-time crime centers ?"  To me, it's about putting people, ideas, & pieces of technology together in ways that enhance awareness, sense-making & decision-making.  The first framework I'll introduce is Boyd's OODA . OBSERVE: These are the individual sensors, alerts, notifications, camera feeds, & info sources that make their way in front of a human. We are getting better at leveraging technology to automate this process. It's like multiplying our eyes & ears out there in the field. This is NOT situational awareness; it's simply receiving inputs. ORIENT: This is the contextual understanding of "so what" when a sensor gets triggered or some other information comes in. This is where Intelligence sits, as a form of individual & organizational understanding, sense-making, & pattern discernment. It helps answer "why does this matter?" Without backgr...

Ty Webb, Caddyshack (1980) Among the many, there's a memorable and hysterical scene in the movie Caddyshack where two (2) golfers are talking about how they played earlier that day: Judge Smails: Ty, what did you shoot today? Ty Webb: Oh, Judge, I don't keep score. Judge Smails: Then how do you measure yourself with other golfers? Ty Webb: By height. It brings to mind all the metrics that can be used to compare things -- those that are effective, appropriate, worthless, comical, interesting, operational, hidden, insignificant, obvious... * In US policing, all the rage is over Real-Time Crime Centers ( RTCCs ). They come by many names - real-time intel, watch desks, operations centers, situation rooms, etc, etc. But for some reason, the RTCC label is sticking... And because they come with relatively high price tags (in terms of worker salary & fancy technology), police agency executives rightly want to know how effective these hi-tech units are.  But how do you measure the ...

A Venn diagram to explain what I do at work. I live in the overlap of: INFORMATION. This is the reception, observation, sensing, or sharing of feedback or other information inputs. It relies on awareness, alerts, & being open to receive data — but also the ability to push this information forward. ( Real-Time Crime Centers , anyone?) INTELLIGENCE.  Intelligence is both a process & a by-product of a process. Through aggregation, it uncovers patterns & trends, as well as predictions & anticipations. By sharing these insights, groups & teams gain a shared & underlying awareness, sense-making, orientation, biases, or mental models. INVESTIGATIONS.  Investigations is the process of solving mysteries. It uses clues to develop multiple, conflicting theories. And uses critical thinking to find evidence, facts, observations, & data to disprove hypotheses. INTERDICTION.  Interdiction is the action in the field or arena. It’s driven by intentions, purpose...

I've written elsewhere that  police "real time crime centers" are disrupting 911 centers . When I used the term disruption , some readers thought it to be negative, as opposed to the neutrality I meant. But now, I'm leaning towards it being a positive term. Here's what I'm thinking... In the late 1990s, I was a new cop. It wasn't uncommon for uniformed patrolmen or patrolwomen to cover 911 desks when dispatchers called in sick. We'd be call-takers and dispatcher for fire, police, and medics. It was somewhat overwhelming - with the 911 phones, jail surveillance cameras, alarm boards, radio consoles, TDD systems, dot-matrix printers, monochrome monitors... And the technology stuffed into our dispatcher center seemed to grow every year - GPS systems, city pod cameras, databases, and plenty of other tools that I'd rather not name publicly. And with each new tool or tech, the complaints from dispatchers were as predictable as the sunrise: " We can...

Are you loading up the Wagon Queen Family Truckster this summer? I'm admittedly a Rand McNally Road Atlas sorta guy. But as a data-driven police detective, I'm no stranger to tech & GIS. Here's a solid hack at planning your next road trip: 1. Start in Google's free My Maps -- which is NOT the same as Google Maps! Yes, you'll need a free Google account. You'll likely toggle different "base map" options as you add your data; don't sweat this up front. 2. Think in terms of map "layers." For us, we're using:           🌲 National Parks (must see)           🌲 National Parks (would like to see)            🔵 Lodging/Hotels [options & reservations]             💜 Other stops/waypoints/attractions These layers group up similar types of points on a map & can be selected or de-selected to show on the screen. This helps find you plotted points & streamlines any edit...

Chicago Police Crime Map (City of Chicago dashboard) “Machines don’t fight wars. Terrain doesn’t fight wars. Humans fight wars. You must get into the minds of humans. That’s where the battles are won.”  ~ COL John Boyd, US Air Force I'm a vocal supporter of data, technology, and intelligence in policing.   Data  is the collective of facts, clues, timestamps, map points, and evidence used to develop intelligence. Technology  is the aggregation of tools, methods, and mediums by which data is sensed, captured, sorted, stored, analyzed, correlated, transmitted, curated, and shared. Intelligence is the resultant storytelling product and team sense-making of threats, crimes, investigations, and evidence, ultimately used to inform decision-makers.  NONE of this happens without the integration of humans. I don't care how good your artificial intelligence is. Or your algorithm. Or how timely or accurate your automated alerts are. Effective policing and public safet...

Later tonight, I'm headed to the neighborhood dads' poker game.  Each of these guys has a different playing style.  Some are conservative betters; others are aggressive.  Some play the intellectual game; others get overly emotional. Some get drunk; others capitalize on their competitors' drunkenness.  Some play the short game; others play the long game. The long game is the collection of small decisions and their resultant successes and failures over a duration. Months. Years. Decades. When it comes down to success, I wholly believe in the consistency of good decisions is what matters. I'm probably a below-average poker player. Yet, it's possible for me to sit at a table of world champion players... and win.  How? By getting lucky enough times when I make bad decisions. If I sat down against those same players for another 100 games, I'd get crushed in 95+ of them. These guys are stacking good decisions on top of each other. For them, getting lucky mean...