The Illinois Model

Later tonight, I'm headed to the neighborhood dads' poker game.  Each of these guys has a different playing style.  Some are conservative betters; others are aggressive.  Some play the intellectual game; others get overly emotional. Some get drunk; others capitalize on their competitors' drunkenness.  Some play the short game; others play the long game. The long game is the collection of small decisions and their resultant successes and failures over a duration. Months. Years. Decades. When it comes down to success, I wholly believe in the consistency of good decisions is what matters. I'm probably a below-average poker player. Yet, it's possible for me to sit at a table of world champion players... and win.  How? By getting lucky enough times when I make bad decisions. If I sat down against those same players for another 100 games, I'd get crushed in 95+ of them. These guys are stacking good decisions on top of each other. For them, getting lucky means maximizi

Baton Rouge RTCC Do not be intimidated by huge, dimly-lit, video-walled police command & intelligence centers. I remember feeling overwhelmed when I first visited the Chicago Police Dept’s CPIC fusion center. Live-video from prominent tourist attractions across the city. A digital job board — displaying high priority shootings, robberies, & carjackings. More workstations than my unit had people! But then, I learned the same exact work can be run on a laptop, from the back of a minivan, at 80mph! (Not kidding!) At its core, running a command room or a real-time crime center is about timely access to information. And timely dissemination of the same. It doesn’t have to be all fancy. Sure, you can get expensive RTCC integration software. And a video wall. And TVs mounted all over. And elevated stadium seating. (Don’t forget the sexy accent lighting!) But… If you’re looking to start out, cram a computer & a couple monitors into an extra cubicle. Get your people some basic acce

Police Real-Time Crime Centers are innovative. But they have disrupted 911 dispatch centers more than any other established institution in US policing. "Radio room" operations haven't conceptually changed in decades. They've been the consistent hub of public safety communications -- especially so through the consolidation of dispatch centers. Despite modern technology, the format has remained relatively unchanged: information comes in from telephone calls...& is broadcast out to cops via radio. Except now, the input of information into police operations is growing much more diverse than from 911 callers alone: business & home alarms cameras of all sorts various sensors & triggers artificial intelligence GPS tracking technologies pull-stations in schools body worn cameras Yet the volume & pace of 911 calls haven't slowed down at all. RTCCs have been opening up to support the influx of this new data & to help output it to first responders in th

In 1959, this was as "real time" as it got! (Oakland CA PD) Right now, US police departments are being categorized according to whether or not the Department adopts a certain technological concept. That concept is the Real Time Crime Center . And it's disrupted policing as we knew it. The RTCC concept can be as formal & robust as a dedicated, fully staffed monitoring room... or as casual as an extra computer workstation in a tucked-away cubicle. The concept remains: Provide immediate "real time" support to cops & first responders on the street, through a latticework of technology, intelligence, sensors, & alerts. RTCCs have been around for years. But 2021-2022 has seen unbelievable growth. Yet many police departments are resisting their implementation. Why? I'll offer several opinions. 1. They cost money. However, I'll suggest that almost every RTCC started out with humble beginnings & have grown into the formal programs we now see in t

Dashboard from Chicago Police data There's a three (3)-headed monster required for good intelligence work: DATA ANALYTICS & STATISTICS This is where most minds go when thinking of intel or analysis. It's the collection, sorting, crunching, & figuring-out of data & information. This is surely the most technical. It's also becoming more & more automated (think: less human interaction with data). PRESENTATION & DATA VISUALIZATION But how should we present our findings? Written narrative? In-person briefings? Tables? Maps? Graphs? Dashboards? Animations? We must understand how human brains make sense of data visualization. We must ensure that the format or medium is appropriate for conveying the particular content. If the reader or listener doesn't understand it, we've failed! OPERATIONAL EXPERIENCE I put this last, but it's the most important. Is the published information valuable to the "doers?" Can they operationalize it? Is it answe

Information ≠ Intelligence. Information + Context + Sense-Making = Intelligence Our mental models, implicit biases, intuition, schemata, & abstractions live in the Orient phase of Boyd’s OODA. They are etched through our lifetime of experiences & exposures. They’re the patterns, baselines, & frames of reference for how we make sense of new Observations. Intelligence, aside from being a noun of sorts, can also be a process. It’s the cycle of taking new information, comparing it to previous understandings & wisdom, breaking it apart (analyzing), combining it, & forming or synthesizing new mental models. We tend to call this process learning . Formal intelligence (as a noun) is a more explicitly shared insight for group or team sense-making. It accelerates the process of refining our existing baselines into something more accurate & in greater harmony with reality. Intelligence comes in many forms. Confidential reports to corporate decision-makers. Analytical repor

US military strategist John Boyd is credited with saying, "People, ideas, and hardware ... in that order." Boyd was a Korean and Vietnam War era Colonel in the US Air Force, who continued to advise military leaders until his death in 1997. He is most famously known for his Observe-Orient-Decide-Act cycle, abbreviated OODA . His "People, Ideas, and Hardware" concept is among his more popular quips. So what can we learn from it? PEOPLE People should be your priority. No matter what weapon or tool you give them, it is a human who will solve problems, experiment, live, die, make decisions, succeed, fail, give up, persevere. Paraphrasing Boyd, wars are fought between people. Human beings are the most resilient of anything on the planet. They can fail despite having the best of equipment. Or they can succeed despite being provided the worst of tools. They learn, adapt, and figure it out. Humans are at the heart of your organization. You can lead them, but they will always

Every cop I know who is debt-free & financially-healthy has taken this same path. More than a few are millionaires. Here are the concepts: 1. The Pension. You give up 10% of your base pay every year. Upon retirement, you get ~75% of your salary for the rest of your life.* (This is mandatory in most places. You automatically contribute.) 2. The 457(b) Program. Invest additionally up to $20,500/yr* pre-tax into a retirement account . Contribute as early as & as much as you can. You'll never miss it. Pick an aggressive strategy. When you retire, you won't even need your pension! 3. The Overtime. Work your ass off in your 20s. Exploit the overtime before you have a family. (Your peers will be calling in "sick" on the weekends. Take advantage of their work ethic.) The padded paychecks make the 457 contributions that much easier. But spend wisely. 4. The Budget. Don't buy the new pickup truck, or the boat, or the ATV. At least not right away. Save up for the

May 2013. Police Officers, with the drainage culvert behind them. Fall 2013. Heavy rains had turned the normal trickle in the culvert into a raging current. A dog in the park slid down the grassy slope into the swift moving water. Before his owner could make sense of what was going on, the dog got sucked into the water-filled underground pipe! Another park patron called 911. Several beat cops responded to the call. I happened to know where that sewer pipe flowed downstream. It lead to a small retention pond a couple neighborhoods over, then went back underground to traverse the expressway. Simply, I knew where the dog was going. And I went there. Not to where his owner was still panicking. Before we knew it, “Sammy” was reunited with his owner! ** This story has lessons of anticipation & prediction. “ I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been. ”  ~ Wayne Gretzky  In policing, we respond to plenty of “moving” emergencies — running suspects, car chases, offen

Drone use is exploding in American law enforcement. Especially programs that push out “Drones as First Responders” (DFR) — where sUAS are put up to scout locations before cops on the ground ever enter the area. But what I’m going to discuss below also applies to all remote-controlled tactical searches or surveillance. Most, if not all, drones are capable of sending live-stream video to command posts, Real Time Crime Centers (RTCC), Joint Ops Centers, or ground units. Pretty neat, huh? You can imagine the huge wall of screens, right? Let me tell you the downside here: With this sort of immediate feedback being shared to off-scene commanders, it has the potential tendency for those bosses to over-exert their command-and-control on operators in the field. DFR & RTCC programs both run the risk of doing such a great job at collecting information that commanders may feel a need, desire, or responsibility to (micro-)manage from afar. We need to balance this awesome technology that keeps e